Thursday, March 31, 2011

Thorium holds key to Japan's industrial future

Takashi Kamei writing in the September 2, 2010 Asahi Shimbun argues that thorium may provide many benefits for a low -arbon Japan. He writes:

"Japan wants to shift to a low-carbon society, but the challenge will be how it goes about it. The key to achieving this difficult goal is industrial revitalization. This will require technological innovation and the ability to secure precious resources. Thorium may provide an answer.

Thorium is a naturally occurring radioactive substance. Its use is almost exclusively limited to nuclear fuel. However, unlike uranium, it is not fissionable and has not been used as nuclear fuel up to now.

But it can be burned if plutonium is used to ignite it. After more than 40 years of using nuclear power, the world has a 2,000-ton stockpile of plutonium.

If thorium is used as a fuel for nuclear power generation, electricity can be supplied without discharging carbon dioxide. Another plus is that the method does not produce plutonium, which can be used to make nuclear weapons.

Thus, thorium has a potential to help in efforts to curb global warming and bring about a world without nuclear weapons at the same time."

See the whole article at the following URL

http://www.asahi.com/english/TKY201009010323.html

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

While Nuclear Waste Piles up in U.S., Billions in Fund to Handle It Sit Unused

Here is a ProPublica article on the nuclear waste problem in the U.S. and the the large government funds set aside for a solution that isn't going to happen.

Amory Lovins: Learning from Japan's Nuclear Disaster

This is an anti-nuclear/pro-renewables article that makes an economic argument against slow, expensive and dangerous nuclear technology. Lovins argues that:

"Nuclear power is the only energy source where mishap or malice can kill so many people so far away; the only one whose ingredients can help make and hide nuclear bombs; the only climate solution that substitutes proliferation, accident, and high-level radioactive waste dangers. Indeed, nuclear plants are so slow and costly to build that they reduce and retard climate protection.

Here's how. Each dollar spent on a new reactor buys about two to ten times less carbon savings and is 20 to 40 times slower, than spending that dollar on the cheaper, faster, safer solutions that make nuclear power unnecessary and uneconomic: efficient use of electricity, making heat and power together in factories or buildings ("cogeneration"), and renewable energy. The last two made 18 percent of the world's 2009 electricity (while nuclear made 13 percent, reversing their 2000 shares)—and made over 90 percent of the 2007 to 2008 increase in global electricity production."

Thorium Reserves by Country


Wikipedia provides the following estimates of Thorium reserves.


The prevailing estimate of the economically available thorium reserves comes from the US Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries (1996–2010):[56][61]

American estimates intonnes (2010)
Country↓Reserves↓
United States440,000
Australia300,000
Brazil16,000
Canada100,000
India290,000
Malaysia4,500
South Africa35,000
Other Countries90,000
World Total1,300,000

Note: The OECD/NEA report notes that the estimates (that the Australian figures are based on) are subjective, due to the variability in the quality of the data, a lot of which is old and incomplete.[62] Adding to the confusion are subjective claims made by the Australian government (in 2009, through their "Geoscience" department) that combine the Reasonably Assured Reserves (RAR) estimates with "inferred" data (i.e. subjective guesses). This strange combined figure of RAR and "guessed" reserves yields a figure, published by the Australian government, of 489,000 tonnes.[62] However using the same criteria for Brazil or India would yield reserve figures of between 600,000 to 1,300,000 tonnes for Brazil and between 300,000 to 600,000 tonnes for India. Irrespective, of isolated claims by the Australian government, the most credible third-party and multi-lateral reports, those of the OECD/IAEA and the USGS, consistently report high thorium reserves for India while not doing the same for Australia.

Another estimate of Reasonably Assured Reserves (RAR) and Estimated Additional Reserves (EAR) of thorium comes from OECD/NEA, Nuclear Energy, "Trends in Nuclear Fuel Cycle", Paris, France (2001):[63]

IAEA Estimates in tonnes (2005)
Country↓RAR Th↓EAR Th↓
Australia19,000
Brazil606,000700,000
Canada45,000128,000
Greenland54,00032,000
Egypt15,000309,000
India319,000
Norway132,000132,000
South Africa18,000
Turkey380,000500,000
United States137,000295,000
Other Countries505,000
World Total2,230,0002,130,000

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

U.S. Nuclear Industry History Quoted from Forbes by Wikipedia

A cover story in the February 11, 1985, issue of Forbes magazine commented on the overall management of the nuclear power program in the United States:

The failure of the U.S. nuclear power program ranks as the largest managerial disaster in business history, a disaster on a monumental scale … only the blind, or the biased, can now think that the money has been well spent. It is a defeat for the U.S. consumer and for the competitiveness of U.S. industry, for the utilities that undertook the program and for the private enterprise system that made it possible.[22]


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_the_United_States

The Battle for Control of Smart Cities

A Fast Company article from December 2010 highlights a ten-year forecast done by IFTF for the Rockefeller Foundation.

In reference to the report's expert contributors, the report states that:

"Together, they highlight five “technologies that matter” for cities in 2020: (1) mobile broadband; (2) smart personal devices, whether they’re dirt-cheap phones or tablets; (3) government-sponsored cloud computing (modeled on the U.K.’s national “G-cloud” initiative);(4) open-source public databases to promote grassroots innovation, and (5) “public interfaces.” Instead of Internet cafés, imagine an outdoor LED screen and hacked Kinect box allowing literally anyone to access the Net using only gestures.

The report’s centerpiece is a map depicting how these technologies might be applied across 13 scenarios, from something as simple as on-demand census counting (to track the influx of urban immigration) to crowdsourced public services (best exemplified in the U.S. bySeeClickFix, the subject of a profile in the December/January issue of Fast Company) to high-resolution, real-time models of urban processes.

See

http://www.fastcompany.com/1710342/the-battle-for-the-soul-of-the-smart-city

http://www.iftf.org/inclusion

Why no Thorium? Because of the Uranium-Plutonium Fuel Cycle

According to the "Energy from Thorium" website, "We get somewhat of an insight into the thinking of the Atomic Energy Commission with regards to breeder reactors. If they were to use uranium-plutonium, then plutonium supplies were crucial due to the fact that each fast breeder needed 10 to 15 times as much fissile material to generate a unit of power as a thermal reactor did. The light-water reactors at the time were producing plutonium as a byproduct. The fast-breeder needed and wanted that plutonium. Reactors like LFTR needed a tiny fraction of the fissile inventory as the fast breeder did and could be started on HEU.

Here’s an image of how the AEC envisioned light-water reactors running on enriched uranium and producing plutonium, and fast-breeder reactors needing that plutonium, working together.

The picture begins to become clearer, especially when we consider how Weinberg described what the AEC did with this report, establishing a “Fast Breeder” office but no “Thermal Breeder” office."

Uranium and plutonium went hand-in-hand. There was no need for thorium under this model.

Thorium- China's choice

China Daily reprints article from U.K. Telegraph:


Thorium- China's choice

This passed unnoticed – except by a small of band of thorium enthusiasts – but it may mark the passage of strategic leadership in energy policy from an inert and status-quo West to a rising technological power willing to break the mould.

If China’s dash for thorium power succeeds, it will vastly alter the global energy landscape and may avert a calamitous conflict over resources as Asia’s industrial revolutions clash head-on with the West’s entrenched consumption.

China’s Academy of Sciences said it had chosen a “thorium-based molten salt reactor system”. The liquid fuel idea was pioneered by US physicists at Oak Ridge National Lab in the 1960s, but the US has long since dropped the ball. Further evidence of Barack `Obama’s “Sputnik moment”, you could say.

Chinese scientists claim that hazardous waste will be a thousand times less than with uranium. The system is inherently less prone to disaster.

“The reactor has an amazing safety feature,” said Kirk Sorensen, a former NASA engineer at Teledyne Brown and a thorium expert.

“If it begins to overheat, a little plug melts and the salts drain into a pan. There is no need for computers, or the sort of electrical pumps that were crippled by the tsunami. The reactor saves itself,” he said.

“They operate at atmospheric pressure so you don’t have the sort of hydrogen explosions we’ve seen in Japan. One of these reactors would have come through the tsunami just fine. There would have been no radiation release.”

Thorium is a silvery metal named after the Norse god of thunder. The metal has its own “issues” but no thorium reactor could easily spin out of control in the manner of Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, or now Fukushima.

Professor Robert Cywinksi from Huddersfield University said thorium must be bombarded with neutrons to drive the fission process. “There is no chain reaction. Fission dies the moment you switch off the photon beam. There are not enough neutrons for it continue of its own accord,” he said.

Dr Cywinski, who anchors a UK-wide thorium team, said the residual heat left behind in a crisis would be “orders of magnitude less” than in a uranium reactor.

The earth’s crust holds 80 years of uranium at expected usage rates, he said. Thorium is as common as lead. America has buried tons as a by-product of rare earth metals mining. Norway has so much that Oslo is planning a post-oil era where thorium might drive the country’s next great phase of wealth. Even Britain has seams in Wales and in the granite cliffs of Cornwall. Almost all the mineral is usable as fuel, compared to 0.7pc of uranium. There is enough to power civilization for thousands of years.

I write before knowing the outcome of the Fukushima drama, but as yet none of 15,000 deaths are linked to nuclear failure. Indeed, there has never been a verified death from nuclear power in the West in half a century. Perspective is in order.

We cannot avoid the fact that two to three billion extra people now expect – and will obtain – a western lifestyle. China alone plans to produce 100m cars and buses every year by 2020.

The International Atomic Energy Agency said the world currently has 442 nuclear reactors. They generate 372 gigawatts of power, providing 14pc of global electricity. Nuclear output must double over twenty years just to keep pace with the rise of the China and India.

If a string of countries cancel or cut back future reactors, let alone follow Germany’s Angela Merkel in shutting some down, they shift the strain onto gas, oil, and coal. Since the West is also cutting solar subsidies, they can hardly expect the solar industry to plug the gap.

BP’s disaster at Macondo should teach us not to expect too much from oil reserves deep below the oceans, beneath layers of blinding salt. Meanwhile, we rely uneasily on Wahabi repression to crush dissent in the Gulf and keep Arabian crude flowing our way. So where can we turn, unless we revert to coal and give up on the ice caps altogether? That would be courting fate.

US physicists in the late 1940s explored thorium fuel for power. It has a higher neutron yield than uranium, a better fission rating, longer fuel cycles, and does not require the extra cost of isotope separation.

The plans were shelved because thorium does not produce plutonium for bombs. As a happy bonus, it can burn up plutonium and toxic waste from old reactors, reducing radio-toxicity and acting as an eco-cleaner.

Dr Cywinski is developing an accelerator driven sub-critical reactor for thorium, a cutting-edge project worldwide. It needs to £300m of public money for the next phase, and £1.5bn of commercial investment to produce the first working plant. Thereafter, economies of scale kick in fast. The idea is to make pint-size 600MW reactors.

Yet any hope of state support seems to have died with the Coalition budget cuts, and with it hopes that Britain could take a lead in the energy revolution. It is understandable, of course. Funds are scarce. The UK has already put its efforts into the next generation of uranium reactors. Yet critics say vested interests with sunk costs in uranium technology succeeded in chilling enthusiasm.

The same happened a decade ago to a parallel project by Nobel laureate Carlo Rubbia at CERN (European Organization for Nuclear Research). France’s nuclear industry killed proposals for funding from Brussels, though a French group is now working on thorium in Grenoble.

Norway’s Aker Solution has bought Professor Rubbia’s patent. It had hoped to build the first sub-critical reactor in the UK, but seems to be giving up on Britain and locking up a deal to build it in China instead, where minds and wallets are more open.

So the Chinese will soon lead on this thorium technology as well as molten-salts. Good luck to them. They are doing Mankind a favour. We may get through the century without tearing each other apart over scarce energy and wrecking the planet.

Friday, March 25, 2011

Groupon. . .Groupoff?

Groupon has been a darling of the venture world, especially after turning down a $6 billion offer from Google in 2010. CNET carried an article about tough times at the Chicago-based web company.


March 25, 2011 9:29 AM PDT

More less-than-awesome revenue gossip for Groupon



by Caroline McCarthy




According to daily deals aggregation site Yipit, Groupon's revenues in major U.S. markets have been on a distinct decline in March. (Credit: Yipit)



























It turned down a $6 billion acquisition offer. It wants a $25 billion initial public offering. It more or less created a breed of advertising that now every company wants into. It's grown faster than just about any company, ever. But according to multiple signals across the Web, things may be afoul at Groupon.



The latest is a chart released by Yipit, a start-up that aggregates cities' daily-deal offerings--more than 400 sites' worth--into a customizable digest that highlights individual users' preferences. Yipit said in a blog post today that it found a 32 percent decline in Groupon revenue per day in the top 20 U.S. markets, and that its smaller competitor LivingSocial has nearly caught up to it in those metro regions. Granted, both companies operate in way more markets, but if true, this is not a great sign for Groupon.



It also isn't the first red flag that something might be afoot. Earlier this week, it was revealed that president and chief operating officer Rob Solomon was stepping down--not the sort of thing that one would expect from an early executive at a company that's apparently headed for a monstrous IPO. Shortly thereafter, an anonymous third-party researcher with deep access to Groupon data shared some disconcerting numbers with TechCrunch: U.S. revenues, the source said, fell from $89 million to $62 million. It might have been negative reactions toGroupon's bizarro-world Super Bowl ads, reporter Erick Schonfeld surmised, or it might have been a natural drop-off after the hectic holiday season. Or it might be a sign of something worse.



One thing that we do know is that LivingSocial has been making one effective move after another, and is no longer a laughably long-shot second place to Groupon. A deal for Amazon gift cards (the e-commerce giant is a major investor in LivingSocial) caused a big spike in membership sign-ups, and according to some estimates, the Amazon deal was what catalyzed LivingSocial's jump from one-tenth the size of Groupon to one-half in the U.S. More recently, LivingSocial used a day's deals to offer to match donations to Japanese earthquake relief--another source of traffic and significant positive buzz.



Groupon representatives did not respond to a request for comment.

Read more: http://news.cnet.com/8301-13577_3-20047127-36.html#ixzz1HdT42ubM

Better Place unveils plans for 9 stations in Israel






An EV charging station outside of the Better Place Center in Israel, which offers test drives and educational tools to promote battery-swapping and electric vehicles. (Credit: Better Place)




Better Place announced yesterday details of its plan to open a series of electric-vehicle charging stations in Israel.


The company offers EV charging stations that, through a subscription service, give electric-vehicle owners the option of a quick battery swap instead of plugging in and waiting for their car's battery to charge over time. Most stations also offer fast-charging plug-in spots for nonmembers. It takes only a minute to make the swap. The depleted batteries are then recharged and used in other cars, according to Better Place.


The service may be seen by some as a substantial convenience considering it takes 15 to 30 minutes to recharge an EV battery pack to 80 percent capacity from a rapid-charging station depending on the vehicle, and even longer from a standard home outlet.

Better Place announced that it will have 40 of these commercial battery-switching stations in Israel by the end of 2011.


It revealed the locations for the first nine stations: Be'er Sheva, Beit Shean, Bilu Junction, Hadera, Kiryat Ekron, Mahanaim, Mitzpeh Ramon, Modi'in, and Yavne. Over 27 Israeli municipalities have also signed agreements with Better Place to develop charging spots in centrally located areas, according to the company.


In conjunction with its service, Better Place has a software platform that integrates GPS with a car's computer to monitor electricity use, and inform drivers of the range left in their car battery as well as the closest Better Place charging station.


Earlier this month Better Place announced a partnership with Renault in Denmark, in which those who lease or purchase the Renault's new all-electric Fluence Z.E. will be offered a special subscription plan.


Renault is launching its Renault Fluence Z.E. in Israel and Denmark this year, and has worked with Better Place to promote the idea of battery-swapping. Better Place announced yesterday it will also be in partnership with Renault in Israel.


Pricing for customers in Israel was not announced, but the Denmark figures give an idea of the kinds of pricing models they might expect.


Read more: http://news.cnet.com/8301-11128_3-20046776-54.html#ixzz1HcgjybR7